肖栋
上海市气候中心
研究兴趣
1.气候动力学与气候预测
2.青藏高原与极地气候变化
3.用电量和用电负荷预测
教育背景
博士：2003.09–2008.06，兰州大学大气科学学院 气象学研究所 气象学专业
本科：1999.09–2003.07，兰州大学资源环境学院 大气科学系 大气科学专业
研究经历
2021.11–至今：研究员：上海市气候中心
2018.12–2021.10：研究员： 中国气象科学研究院青藏高原与极地气象研究所
2016.09–2017.09：访问学者：新泽西州立大学环境科学系
2011.10–2018.11：副研究员：中国气象科学研究院气候系统研究所
2009.05–2009.10：访问学者：国家气候中心
2008.07–2011.10：助理研究员：中国气象科学研究院气候系统研究所
承担课题
联合主持：中国气象局气候变化专题项目“上海用电负荷和供水预测预估模型与保供策略”，2025.07-2016.12
主持：中国气象局数值预报统筹研发专项“CPSv3模式在上海市夏季高温过程的解释应用”，2025.01-2025.12
主持:国家自然科学基金面上项目“冬季北极涛动与北极气温之间的准双周正反馈机制及其在北极变暖中的作用”2022-2025，
主持:国家自然科学基金青年项目“近30年北半球平均费雷尔环流强度变化及其在东亚夏季风演变中的作用”2015-2017
课题负责人:公益性行业专项“月-季节内气候模式预测产品解释应用技术研发”第三课题“NCC动力延伸预报模式误差订正技术及应用研究”2009-2012，
参与：“第二次青藏高原综合科学考察”第一任务“西风-季风协同作用及其影响”中第五专题“西风—季风协同作用对亚洲水塔变化的影响”2019.11-2025.10
参与：中科院先导专项项目子课题（泛第三极环境变化与绿色丝绸之路建设/气候变化影响下亚洲水塔变化与影响和绿色发展方案/青藏高原-极地气候联动机制及影响研究），2019-2023
参与：国家自然科学基金重点项目“青藏高原与太平洋/大西洋热力作用对北半球陆地夏季风年际变化的协同影响”2015-2018
参与：国家科技基础性工作专项“中国近2000年古气候代用资料整编”第四课题“代用资料的气候意义诊断及其误差分析”2011-2015
参与：国家自然科学基金重大项目“中国地区树轮及千年气候变化研究”第一课题“中国千年气候变化的非平稳动态模型和预测研究”2009-2012
学术兼职
同济大学兼职教授
获奖情况
2009，兰州大学优秀博士论文
2015，中国气象科学研究院优秀青年
2016，入选气科院高层次人才培养计划
2016，入选气象部门“青年英才”
2023，中国气象学会第三届武夷论坛优秀论文
2024，上海市气象局首席气象专家
发表论文
1.Xiao Dong*.Spatial-temporal characteristics of the atmospheric decadal abrupt changes around 2013 and their differences from those inthelate 1970s.Climate Dynamics, 2025,63: 118.https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07612-z
2.Zhao Hui-Jun,Xiao Dong*,Chen Qi, Wu Wei, Guo Jing-Yan.Establishment and Comparison of two Types of Statistical Monthly Spatial Prediction Models for Weddell Sea Ice,Journal of Climate, 2025,38(8):1935–1960.https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0058.1
3.Guo Jing-Yan,Xiao Dong*, Zhao Hui-Jun, He Wen-Ping*.Opposite Effects of Intraseasonal Water Vapor Income on Summer Atmospheric Precipitable Water Over the Bengal Region.Climate Dynamics, 2025,63: 70.https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07511-9
4.WangYong,ZhouZi-Han,LiuXin-Yu,WangCheng-Hai*,XiaoDong*,LiWen-Yao,QinHao-Jun.Regime shift ofthe leading mode of winter surface wind speed in northwest Chinain 2003/04 and its possiblelinkwithBarents–Kara sea ice.International JournalofClimatology,2024,1566-1586.doi: 10.1002/joc.8399.
5.Zhao Hui-Jun,Xiao Dong*, Bian Lin-Gen,Wu Wei, Yang Hai-Wei, Liang Tian, Sun Lan-Dong.Seasonal prediction of sea ice sudden loss in Weddell Sea in recent years based on multiple linear regression models.Frontiers in EnvironmentalScience, 2023, 11: 1135365. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2023.1135165
6.Dong Xiaoand Hong-Li Ren. A regime shift in North Pacific annual mean sea surface temperature in 2013/14.Frontiers in Earth Science,2023, 10:987349.doi: 10.3389/feart.2022.987349.
7.郭静妍，肖栋*，孟加拉地区夏季水汽变化及其与太平洋年代际振荡的联系，干旱气象，2023，41（3）：380-389.
8.Xiao Dong*, Zhao Ping, Ren Hongli. Climatic factors contributing to interannual and interdecadal variations in the meridional displacement of the East Asian jet stream in boreal winter,Atmospheric Research2021,264:105864.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105864
9.Xiao Dong*,Ren Hongli.Interdecadal changes in synoptic transient eddy activity over the Northeast Pacific and their role in tropospheric Arctic amplification.Climate Dynamics, 2021,57: 993-1008.
10.Xiao Dong, Zhiyan Zuo, Renhe Zhang, Xingyu Zhang, Qiong He. Year-to-year variability of surface air temperature over China in winter.International Journal of Climatology, 2018,38:1692–1705.
11.Xiao Dong,Zhao, P., Wang Y., Zhou X.Responses of the summer Asian-Pacific zonal thermal contrast and the associated evolution of atmospheric circulation to transient orbital changes during the Holocene.ScientificReports2016,6: 35816; doi: 10.1038/srep35816.
12.Xiao Dong*,Ying Li, Shaojia Fan, Renhe Zhang, Jiaren Sun,and Yan Wang.Plausible influence of Atlantic Ocean SST anomalies on winter haze in China.Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2015,122: 249–257,doi: 10.1007/s00704-014-1297-6.
13.Xiao Dong, Zhao Ping, Wang Yue, Tian Qin-Hua, and Zhou Xiu-Ji. Millennial-scale phase relationship between North Atlantic deep-level temperature and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau temperature and its evolution since the Last Interglaciation.ChineseScienceBulletin,2014,59: 75–81.doi:10.1007/s11434-013-0028-1.
14.XiaoDong, Zhao, Ping, Wang, Yue, and Zhou, Xiu-Ji.Modeling the climatic implications and indicative senses of the Guliya δ18O-temperature proxy record to the ocean–atmosphere system during the past 130 ka,Climate of thePast, 2013, 9: 735–747, doi:10.5194/cp-9-735-2013.
15.Xiao Dong, Zhou Xiu-Ji, Zhao Ping. Numerical simulation study of temperature change over East China in the past millennium.ScienceChina-Earth Science, 2012, 55: 1504–1517, doi:10.1007/s11430-012-4422-3
16.Xiao Dong,LiJian-Pingand ZhaoPing, Four-dimensional structures and physical process of the decadal abrupt changes of the northern extratropical ocean-atmosphere system in 1980s.International Journal Climatology,2012,32: 983–994, doi: 10.1002/joc.2326.
17.Xiao Dong, andLiJian-Ping, Mechanism of stratospheric decadal abrupt cooling in the early 1990s as influenced by the Pinatubo eruption.ChineseScienceBulletin,2011,56, 772–780，doi: 10.1007/s11434-010-4287-9.
18.Xiao Dong, and LiJian-Ping, Spatial and temporal characteristics of the decadal abrupt changes of global atmosphere-ocean system in 1970s,Journal ofGeophysicalResearch, 2007,112, D24S22,doi:10.1029/2007JD008956.
19.肖栋，巢纪平,黑潮季节变化对海洋次级环流的影响，气象学报，2011,69(4): 736–744。
20.肖栋，李建平，周秀骥，赵平,全球海气系统年代际突变时空特征的模拟评估，气象学报，2010,68(6): 763–778
21.肖栋,李建平，全球海表温度场中主要的年代际突变及其模态.大气科学, 2007，31(5): 839–854, doi:10.3878/j.issn.1006-9895.2007.05.08.
联系方式
邮箱：xiaodong1981@foxmail.com
电话：021-54892034
